2025 NBA picks, March 14 best bets from proven model

The Indiana Pacers will look to win the season series when they battle the Philadelphia 76ers in a key Eastern Conference matchup on Friday night. Indiana is coming off a 115-114 win over Milwaukee on Tuesday, while Philadelphia dropped a 118-105 decision at Toronto on Wednesday. The Pacers (36-28), who are 21-20 against the East, are 15-18 on the road. The 76ers (22-43), who are 14-27 versus the East, are 12-21 on their home court. The Sixers have been decimated by injuries and have 12 players listed as out or questionable, including Joel Embiid (knee), Paul George (groin) and Tyrese Maxey (back) who are all out. Pascal Siakam (elbow) is questionable for Indiana.

Tipoff from Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia is set for 7 p.m. ET. Indiana has won two of three meetings this season, including a 115-102 decision in their last meeting on Jan. 18, and the Pacers have also covered in two of the three matchups. The Pacers are 13-point favorites in the latest Pacers vs. 76ers odds from SportsLine consensus, an increase from opening as 9.5-point favorites. The over/under for total points scored is 231.5. Indy is at -813 on the money line (risk $813 to win $100), while Philly is at +551 (risk $100 to win $551). Before making any 76ers vs. Pacers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Pacers vs. 76ers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Sixers vs. Pacers:

Pacers vs. 76ers spread: Indiana -13
Pacers vs. 76ers over/under: 231.5 points
Pacers vs. 76ers money line: Indiana -813, Philadelphia +551
IND: The Pacers have hit the money line in 26 of their last 39 games (+19.20 units)
PHIL: The 76ers have hit the game total over in 49 of their last 82 games (+14.90 units)
Pacers vs. 76ers picks: See picks at SportsLine
Pacers vs. 76ers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
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Why the Pacers can cover
Power forward Pascal Siakam (questionable) has been on a roll of late. In the win over the Bucks on Tuesday, he registered a double-double with 25 points, 12 rebounds and five assists. He scored 35 points, grabbed nine rebounds and dished out three assists in a 124-118 loss at Atlanta on March 6. In 64 games, all starts, he is averaging 20.8 points, 7.2 rebounds and 3.3 assists in 32.9 minutes.

Point guard Tyrese Haliburton has registered seven double-doubles in a row. In the win over Milwaukee, he finished with 14 points, 10 assists, three rebounds and two steals, including a game-winning four-point play at the end of the game to secure the victory. He scored 28 points, dished out 15 assists and grabbed three rebounds in a 115-102 win over the Houston Rockets on March 4. In 60 games, all starts, he is averaging 18.5 points, 8.9 assists, 3.5 rebounds and 1.5 steals in 34 minutes. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the 76ers can cover
Shooting guard Quentin Grimes has helped boost the Philadelphia offense since being acquired last month from the Dallas Mavericks. He poured in 29 points, while adding four rebounds, three assists, three steals and two blocks in the loss at Toronto. He scored 35 points, grabbed seven rebounds, dished out five assists and recorded three steals in a 132-123 loss at Atlanta on Monday. In 62 games this season, including 24 starts, he is averaging 12.4 points, 4.1 rebounds and 2.5 assists in 25.2 minutes.

Also helping power the 76ers’ attack is veteran shooting guard Kelly Oubre Jr. In 60 games, including 57 starts, he is averaging 15.1 points, 6.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists and 1.5 steals in 34.6 minutes. In a 123-105 loss at Boston on March 6, he poured in 27 points, while adding six assists, five rebounds and three steals. He had 24 points, three rebounds and two assists in a 126-112 loss at Minnesota on March 4. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Pacers vs. 76ers picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated 76ers vs. Pacers 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 224 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Pacers vs. 76ers on Friday, and which side of the spread hits in 60% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Pacers vs. 76ers spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

 Jamal Murray key component of Lakers-Nuggets SGP

The Denver Nuggets host the Los Angeles Lakers at 9:30 p.m. ET on Friday in a matchup of the No. 3 and 4 seeds in the Western Conference, respectively. The Nuggets are 42-24 on the year, holding a slim edge in the standings over the Lakers, who are 40-24. Denver is a 15-point favorite, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, and is -1000 on the money line (bet $1000 to win $100) while the Lakers are +600 (bet $100 to win $660). The over/under is 228, with the Over and Under each priced at -110. LeBron James (groin) and Luka Doncic (calf/ankle) have been ruled out for Los Angeles.

If you’re looking at player prop bets for Friday’s matchup between Denver and Los Angeles, including with Nuggets stars like Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray, make sure to check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. You can see all of the model’s top-rated prop picks for every game under the “Prop Picks” tab. There are ratings of up to five stars assigned for all sorts of different prop bets for players. Those picks can be key for creating winning parlays on DraftKings, FanDuel, PrizePicks, Underdog Fantasy or Sleeper Fantasy as well as same-game parlays on any available betting site.

Let’s dive into the SportsLine model’s three highest-rated player prop recommendations for Lakers-Nuggets and see what the payout would be if they were put into a same-game parlay.

Russell Westbrook Over 5.5 total assists (+126): 4 stars
Westbrook has finished Over his assists prop in four of his last five games against teams with top-third defenses. SportsLine’s model projects the veteran guard to finish Friday with 6.6 assists against the Lakers.

Jamal Murray Over 30.5 total points + rebounds + assists (-110): 3.5 stars
Murray is enjoying another nice season, and he has gone Over his PRA line in six of his last 10 games when the Nuggets have faced teams with a winning record. Murray is averaging 33.8 PRA per game over that timeframe, and the model projects him to have 31.8 PRA against Los Angeles.

Nikola Jokic Over 40.5 total points + rebounds (-106): 3 stars
Jokic, a three-time NBA MVP, has gone Over his points + rebounds prop in four of his last five games when the Nuggets are favored and playing a top-third defense. Jokic is averaging 42.6 total points + rebounds per game over that span, and SportsLine’s model projects him to finish Friday’s game against the Lakers with 40.8 total points + rebounds.

Same-Game Parlay odds: +796 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Want more NBA picks for tonight?
You’ve seen the top NBA prop picks for Lakers vs. Nuggets. Now, get NBA picks for every game from SportsLine’s proven model, which has returned more than $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus season.

2025 NBA picks, March 14 best bets from proven model

The Denver Nuggets (42-24) are hosting the Los Angeles Lakers (40-24) in a conference tilt on Friday. The Nuggets have lost two of their last three games. On Wednesday, Denver was blown out 115-95 by the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Lakers are winless on this four-game road trip, dropping three games in a row. The Milwaukee Bucks beat Los Angeles 126-106 on Thursday. LeBron James (groin) and Luka Doncic (calf) have been ruled out for the Lakers. Aaron Gordon (ankle) is questionable for Denver, with Nikola Jokic (elbow) and Jamal Murray (knee) listed as probable.

Tipoff from Ball Arena in Denver is at 9:30 p.m. ET. The teams have split two meetings this season, with the road team winning each time. The Nuggets are 14.5-point favorites in the latest Lakers vs. Nuggets odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 227.5, a decrease from opening at 232. Before locking in any Nuggets vs. Lakers picks, make sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in betting profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past six-plus seasons. The model enters Week 21 of the 2024-25 NBA season on a sizzling 148-107 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning nearly $4,000. It’s also an outstanding 19-10 (65%) on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Now, the model has simulated Lakers vs. Nuggets 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Lakers vs. Nuggets:

Lakers vs. Nuggets spread: Denver -14.5
Lakers vs. Nuggets over/under: 227.5 points
Lakers vs. Nuggets money line: Denver -1124, Los Angeles +710
LAL: Lakers are 35-28-1 against the spread this season
DEN: Nuggets are 32-32-1 against the spread this season
Lakers vs. Nuggets picks: See picks at SportsLine
Lakers vs. Nuggets streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)
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Why the Lakers can cover
Rookie Dalton Knecht is in line for a heavy workload with the various Lakers injuries, but he’s shown that he’s up to the task. Across nine games in which he’s played 30-plus minutes, Knecht is averaging 20.3 points and 5.0 rebounds. He’s also scoring efficiently with these increased opportunities, with shooting percentages of 53.6% from the field and a blistering 50% from beyond the arc across these nine contests.

Guard Austin Reaves provides this team with another three-level scorer who can facilitate. Reaves logs 18.9 points, 4.4 rebounds and 5.8 assists per contest. In the March 10 loss to the Nets, Reaves had 17 points and 10 assists. This was his fifth double-double this season with 10-plus assists. See which team to back at SportsLine.

Why the Nuggets can cover
Center Jokic (probable) continues to be an impactful playmaker for Denver. Jokic currently ranks third in the NBA in points (29) and rebounds (12.9) while being second in assists (10.4). He’s also 10th in the league in field-goal percentage (57.7%). In his last outing, Jokic racked up 34 points, eight boards and four assists. He’s scored at least 30 points in three of his last four games.

Forward Michael Porter Jr. is able to stretch the floor as a shooter and has a solid mid-range game. Porter Jr. averages 18.3 points, seven rebounds, and shoots 40% from downtown. On March 9 against the Thunder, he finished with 24 points and 15 boards. That marked his 12th double-double this season. See which team to back at SportsLine.

How to make Lakers vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine’s model has simulated Lakers vs. Nuggets and is leaning Over the total, projecting 229 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Lakers vs. Nuggets on Friday, and which side of the spread hits in almost 70% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Lakers vs. Nuggets spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.